…Predicted in Financial Times Essay (UK)
From Hunger Notes, excerpt…
The contraction in exports from the Middle East is not just a short-term increase in price for agricutural inputs; it risks actual production shortfalls in upcoming harvests. Rising energy prices always raise food prices.
…sulfur, urrea, and ammonia from the Middle East are key components of farm inputs in China, India, Brazil, Morocco, Indonesia, Australia, the United States and other countries.
…The essay argues that this is a slow-moving yet systemic crisis as farmers plant less now, with resulting smaller harvests months ahead, leading to further increases in food prices later this year. FT recognizes that poor countries will be hit harvest [hardest? both words work]. While wealthier countries will experience inflation, low income countries may face famine.